Why the Stock Market is Falling in India?

Why the Stock Market is Falling in India?

The stock market of any country is the scale for its economic health. One can obtain a comprehensive view of a nation’s overall growth by analyzing the stock market effectively. If the share prices are quite high, it indicates that businesses are receiving constant investments.


This is why, the stock market is a trustworthy indicator of any nation’s economic strength and development. To talk about India’s economy, it has been experiencing a significant decline over previous years. This fall has raised many concerns for investors, policymakers, and the general public. 


There are many factors to be credited with this fall, from the impact of the global economy to domestic policy challenges. Let’s understand these factors.


6 Causes of the Fall of Indian Stock Market


By understanding the dependencies of the stock market, you get valuable insight into the complexities of the financial markets. Consequently, you will be able to navigate the stock markets easily in case of turbulent times. So, let’s learn more about these causes.


1. Global Economic Uncertainty


The global economic uncertainty is a major reason for the fall in the Indian stock market. Starting from the impact of COVID-19, many issues have lined up consecutively. These also include geopolitical tensions and trade wars. As a combined effort of all these factors, global investors are now cautious with their investments. As a result, emerging markets, like India’s, have faced a capital outflow. 


For example, the conflict in Ukraine has had a huge impact on oil and gas prices, the reason being the disruption in supply chains. Now, India imports a significant portion of its energy needs, oil prices have led to higher inflation and increased costs of business. As a result, profits and stock prices were adversely affected. 


2. Inflation and Interest Rates


At this point in time, inflation is a global concern. The continuously rising prices have taken over the purchasing power of customers. Now, the consumer makes selective purchasing decisions, which hinders economic growth. The RBI accompanied with other central banks has taken steps such as increasing interest rates to control inflation. 


Contrary to their purpose, these high rates increase the cost of borrowing for businesses and consumers. This builds pressure in two ways, raising costs and decreasing consumer spending. Consequently, there is a negative impact on corporate earnings, causing stock prices to fall.


3. Corporate Earnings and Valuations


Another reason for the market decline is the continuous pressure on corporate earnings. Many companies have reported that they have been earning lower than expected earnings due to rising costs, supply chain disruptions, and delayed demands. When companies fail to meet their earning expectations, investors return a negative sentiment, leading to the stocks being sold off cheaply.


Moreover, the valuations of many Indian stocks had reached record-high levels during the market boom. This boom is driven by a surge in retail participation and liquidity infusion. High valuations often indicate that stocks are priced for perfection, leaving little room for error. Any negative news or earnings miss can trigger a sharp downfall in such overvalued stocks.


4. Policy and Regulatory Changes


Policy and regulatory changes also play a vital role in influencing market behavior. For example, recent changes, such as the reintroduction of the LTCG on equity investments, have brought second thoughts for investors. Additionally, regulatory regulations in certain sectors, like technology and pharmaceuticals, have raised concerns regarding profitability. In fact, the operational freedom of companies is also at stake within these industries.


5. Liquidity Crunch


The Indian banking sector has been facing a liquidity crunch. This is partially due to the high levels of non-performing assets (NPAs) and cautious lending practices. As a result, it has become challenging for businesses to access affordable funding. This hampers their expansion and operational capabilities in the long run. A tight liquidity situation can slow down economic growth, affecting the overall market sentiment.


6. Political and Economic Reforms


Political stability and economic reforms are quite important for investor confidence. Any uncertainty around elections or policy changes results in rapid variations in the stock market. Moreover, investors usually prefer stability and clarity in economic policies as it helps them make informed investment decisions. Any sort of instability within the political scenario or major policies can result in a sell-off in the stock markets.


Conclusion


Both global and domestic factors have an equal role in the fall of the Indian stock market. The global economic uncertainty, inflation, and rising interest rates play an important role. However, domestic issues like rupee depreciation, corporate earnings pressure, policy changes, and liquidity crunches add to the challenges. 


For investors, these turbulent times require a well-informed approach. Having an understanding of the factors that drive the market change can help investors make better decisions.

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